Random Politics & Religion #27

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Random Politics & Religion #27
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 Garuda.Chanti
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By Garuda.Chanti 2017-09-18 17:27:12
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How to Read Bob Mueller’s Hand

Based on what we know so far, here’s a former federal prosecutor’s expert read on where the Russian investigation is heading.

CNN

Good read on what is possible or likely to happen.

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Quote:
What is Robert Mueller up to?

Although the scope of the special counsel’s investigation is vast, public reporting of his activities indicate the direction his investigation is taking and gives us a good sense of the types of charges that could result. But most of the breathless speculation about what he will ultimately do is likely wrong—the result of a misunderstanding of how the law works, a misreading of the public evidence we’ve seen so far or wishful thinking by those who would either like to see the president driven from office or see everyone on his team exonerated.

As a starting point, it’s important to keep in mind what prosecutors do: They investigate discrete crimes. Although the media often throw around phrases like “Russian collusion,” that term has no legal meaning whatsoever. Mueller won’t charge one grand conspiracy involving everyone he’s looking at. If he brings charges, expect to see individuals charged separately unless they committed a crime together.
 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2017-09-18 17:35:38
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fonewear said: »
Real question who the hell watch the Emmys ? That is a lower form of entertainment than watching an info commercial.

Isn't that the show where a bunch of famous people pat each other on the back while alienating half of the country more and more every year?

I can't figure out why the ratings would be dropping, though. Maybe 15 minutes in Marketing 101 would solve the riddle.
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By fonewear 2017-09-18 17:59:47
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Garuda.Chanti said: »
How to Read Bob Mueller’s Hand

Based on what we know so far, here’s a former federal prosecutor’s expert read on where the Russian investigation is heading.

CNN

Good read on what is possible or likely to happen.

Openers:
Quote:
What is Robert Mueller up to?

Although the scope of the special counsel’s investigation is vast, public reporting of his activities indicate the direction his investigation is taking and gives us a good sense of the types of charges that could result. But most of the breathless speculation about what he will ultimately do is likely wrong—the result of a misunderstanding of how the law works, a misreading of the public evidence we’ve seen so far or wishful thinking by those who would either like to see the president driven from office or see everyone on his team exonerated.

As a starting point, it’s important to keep in mind what prosecutors do: They investigate discrete crimes. Although the media often throw around phrases like “Russian collusion,” that term has no legal meaning whatsoever. Mueller won’t charge one grand conspiracy involving everyone he’s looking at. If he brings charges, expect to see individuals charged separately unless they committed a crime together.
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By Nausi 2017-09-19 10:37:26
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Cnn yet again proove trump right on his wiretapping claim.

What a time to be alive.
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By Ramyrez 2017-09-19 10:54:10
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Nausi said: »
Cnn yet again proove trump right on his wiretapping claim.

They did. But I wouldn't go crowing about that as a win yet.

I'm sure it's going to be spun that way by Trump and his cadre.

But a few things about that. They weren't tapping him, but rather one of his associates. The approval for these types of surveillance are quite difficult to obtain. Meaning that the target of the surveillance is, while innocent until proven guilty, under high suspicion for serious illicit activity.

If Trump is, in fact, present in the information documented in this surveillance, that does not necessarily bode well for him from a legal standpoint, all things equal. Especially depending on the content of any conversations or other correspondence collected.

That said, all things are not equal, of course. Trump has made his entire career hiring aggressive lawyers that don't so much finesse the law as bludgeon it until they choke loopholes out of it they can use to his advantage. It works quite well, obviously.

It will be interesting to see what happens. Good for the country? Bad? Who knows.

But at least it's not boring!
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By Viciouss 2017-09-19 11:02:15
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Still no evidence of Trump Tower being wiretapped, nor Trump himself, this is all about Manafort, soooo what was Trump "right" about?
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By Shiva.Nikolce 2017-09-19 11:19:02
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Viciouss said: »
Still no evidence of Trump Tower being wiretapped, nor Trump himself, this is all about Manafort, soooo what was Trump "right" about?

ummm manafort had an apartment in trump tower at the time they were wiretapping him...and I'm going to speculate he and trump talked occasionally...
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By Ramyrez 2017-09-19 11:27:27
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Viciouss said: »
Still no evidence of Trump Tower being wiretapped,

According to the CNN thing that I watched last night it basically said Manafort was under high scrutiny and he has a residence in Trump Tower, ipso facto, there was surveillance at Trump Tower.

Trump isn't "right," in that they were observing him specifically but in that he may have been observed incidentally because he was in conversations/communications with Manafort, who was being observed.

Which is more than enough for his supporters.

Now, keep in mind this isn't a situation I've been keeping particularly close tabs upon; I watched a few videos last night because I was looking up something else entirely more relevant to me and this video began autoplaying and for the one time out of 600 that happens I went "Huh. Why not listen to this?"

But that's the gist of what I got. Trump may hate CNN something fierce but they were pretty straightforward in the video I saw, saying that while Trump may not have been 100% correct in what he said, he wasn't entirely wrong either about being observed in one fashion or another.
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By Ramyrez 2017-09-19 11:30:43
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
fonewear said: »
Real question who the hell watch the Emmys ? That is a lower form of entertainment than watching an info commercial.

Isn't that the show where a bunch of famous people pat each other on the back while alienating half of the country more and more every year?

I can't figure out why the ratings would be dropping, though. Maybe 15 minutes in Marketing 101 would solve the riddle.

I love movies and television. I like actors. I think they're generally talented and pleasant to look at much of the time.

I didn't even *** realize this ***happened over the weekend. I remember being like 7 and watching the Oscars and Grammys going..."This is ***."

Milli Vanilli was catchy as hell, sure, but even if they weren't lip syching I knew it wasn't exactly the pinnacle of the songwriting arts...
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By Viciouss 2017-09-19 11:39:52
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Shiva.Nikolce said: »
Viciouss said: »
Still no evidence of Trump Tower being wiretapped, nor Trump himself, this is all about Manafort, soooo what was Trump "right" about?

ummm manafort had an apartment in trump tower at the time they were wiretapping him...and I'm going to speculate he and trump talked occasionally...

In other words, you are hoping?
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By Nausi 2017-09-19 11:48:10
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Vic. That funny feeling you're experiencing is your brain dusting off its critical thinking skills.
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 11:49:01
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Viciouss said: »
Still no evidence of Trump Tower being wiretapped, nor Trump himself, this is all about Manafort, soooo what was Trump "right" about?
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By Ramyrez 2017-09-19 11:55:37
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Viciouss said: »
In other words, you are hoping?


I'm not really sure what you're trying to accomplish here.

Do you want to win an internet argument or potentially have serious dirt on the President you dislike?

Because I'm not sure you understand that suggesting he *wasn't* recorded in some fashion talking to Manafort about this stuff is giving *him* plausible deniability.

This is one of those situations where I don't think people understand what they're arguing for, exactly.
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By Nausi 2017-09-19 12:09:03
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Just a reminder. Listening in on your political opponent's campaign conversations is what they claimed (but couldnt prove) nixon wanted to do in watergate.

This scandal is huge.
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By Shiva.Nikolce 2017-09-19 12:10:53
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Viciouss said: »
In other words, you are hoping?

no I just find it uncomfortable walking around with my head up ***.

I suppose that we could pretend that the fbi went to all that trouble to get the fisa warrant and then didn't run taps on his phone... or apartment... they are government workers after all.

Ramyrez said: »
According to the CNN thing that I watched last night it basically said Manafort was under high scrutiny and he has a residence in Trump Tower, ipso facto, there was surveillance at Trump Tower.

right... I watched it this morning and thought about posting the link. but it's more fun this way...
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By Viciouss 2017-09-19 12:12:29
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Ramyrez said: »
This is one of those situations where I don't think people understand what they're arguing for, exactly.

You can always apply this to nausi.

The CNN article went out of its way to emphasize two things, everything that was done was completely legal, (debunking Trump's tweets) and there was no evidence anything happened at Trump Tower (also debunking Trump's tweets). Trump's own Justice Dept. has said nothing happened at Trump Tower, so again, what is Trump "right" about?

We have always known the two individuals that are in the most trouble are Manafort and Flynn (Flynn is probably going to jail), and to a lesser extent, Carter Page. They have been on Manafort for 3 years now, but Trump still brought him on, not very smart at all.
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:18:58
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I was going to read the CNN article truly I was but I got distracted by hot asians next door.
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:19:48
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You keep saying Manafort I read it as Manafont and think that we are talking about FFXI...
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:20:45
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Maybe Manafort is a black mage working on behalf of the Russians to make FFXI great again.
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 Shiva.Nikolce
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By Shiva.Nikolce 2017-09-19 12:21:09
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Viciouss said: »
They have been on Manafort for 3 years now, but Trump still brought him on, not very smart at all.

one of key aspects of secret wiretaps under secret court orders is that nobody, and especially the person under scrutiny, know that they are happening to them...
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By Viciouss 2017-09-19 12:23:01
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Shiva.Nikolce said: »
Viciouss said: »
They have been on Manafort for 3 years now, but Trump still brought him on, not very smart at all.

one of key aspects of secret wiretaps under secret court orders is that nobody, and especially the person under scrutiny, know that they are happening to them...

What was going on with him and the Ukraine was easily discernable, all it would have taken was a vetting process. But then again, the same could be said about Mike Flynn, but Trump brought him on as well, despite very clear warnings from Congress.
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:25:36
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I think I have dyslexia but with spell check it isn't that big of a deal !
 Shiva.Nikolce
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By Shiva.Nikolce 2017-09-19 12:28:58
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fonewear said: »
I was going to read the CNN article truly I was but I got distracted by hot asians next door.

'The Justice Department and the FBI have denied that Trump's own "wires" were tapped.'

which reminds me a lot of the Hillary Clinton on wiping email server: ‘Like with a cloth or something?’

maybe they mean they never tapped on them with their fingers...

'While Manafort has a residence in Trump Tower, it's unclear 'to vic' whether FBI surveillance of him took place there.'

The FBI also eavesdropped on Carter Page, a campaign associate that then candidate Trump once identified as a national security adviser.
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:30:18
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Viciouss said: »
Shiva.Nikolce said: »
Viciouss said: »
They have been on Manafort for 3 years now, but Trump still brought him on, not very smart at all.

one of key aspects of secret wiretaps under secret court orders is that nobody, and especially the person under scrutiny, know that they are happening to them...

What was going on with him and the Ukraine was easily discernable, all it would have taken was a vetting process. But then again, the same could be said about Mike Flynn, but Trump brought him on as well, despite very clear warnings from Congress.

I found how who Vic really is here you go:

https://twitter.com/KeithOlbermann?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:31:30
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Shiva.Nikolce said: »
fonewear said: »
I was going to read the CNN article truly I was but I got distracted by hot asians next door.

'The Justice Department and the FBI have denied that Trump's own "wires" were tapped.'

which reminds me a lot of the Hillary Clinton on wiping email server: ‘Like with a cloth or something?’

maybe they mean they never tapped on them with their fingers...

'While Manafort has a residence in Trump Tower, it's unclear 'to vic' whether FBI surveillance of him took place there.'

The FBI also eavesdropped on Carter Page, a campaign associate that then candidate Trump once identified as a national security adviser.

So you are saying when I take a cloth and wipe my hard drive it still has stuff on it...damn I'm going to had to hide all my midget porn some other way !
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:33:02
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The best part about that Olberman book is that people think he is a joke. So him writing a book and saying it's not a joke is some sorta of meta. A meta that I can't even comprehend !
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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:36:10
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I mean I knew Vic was someone familiar but I didn't know we were in the presence of a semi famous person.

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By fonewear 2017-09-19 12:36:54
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And I'm going to spill the beans I'm Rachel Maddow not a man not quite a woman.
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 Shiva.Nikolce
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By Shiva.Nikolce 2017-09-19 12:44:11
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Viciouss said: »
What was going on with him and the Ukraine was easily discernible

and therein lies 'the rub' because it's not illegal to talk to Ukrainians...or Russians...as dastardly as they may seem on tv....

'A secret order authorized by the court that handles the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) began after Manafort became the subject of an FBI investigation that began in 2014. It centered on work done by a group of Washington consulting firms for Ukraine's former ruling party, the sources told CNN.'

the surveillance was discontinued at some point last year for lack of evidence, according to one of the sources.

The FBI then restarted the surveillance after obtaining a new FISA warrant that extended at least into early this year.
Sources say the second warrant was part of the FBI's efforts to investigate ties between Trump campaign associates and suspected Russian operatives.
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